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TRUPANION, INC. (TRUP)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 delivered one of Trupanion’s strongest quarters: total revenue $353.6M (+12% YoY), GAAP diluted EPS $0.22 (vs $(0.14) LY), subscription adjusted operating margin 13.8% (+280 bps YoY), and free cash flow $12.0M (+203% YoY) .
  • Raised FY25 guidance: total revenue to $1.417–$1.434B, subscription revenue to $983–$992M, and total AOI to $141–$151M; set Q3 guidance for revenue $359–$365M, subscription revenue $251–$254M, AOI $37–$40M (assumes 73% CAD/USD) .
  • Subscription value proposition improved (cost of veterinary invoices at 71.1% of subscription revenue vs 74.1% LY) with retention strengthening; CFO noted ~60 bps favorable prior-period development and ~1% inflation abatement in Q2 .
  • Portfolio manager catalysts: material EPS beat vs S&P consensus, margin expansion; FY guidance raise and cash deployment (extraordinary dividend upstreamed, debt paydown) support compounding AOI and growth investment .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Strong execution and margin expansion: “one of the strongest financial quarters” with subscription AOI up 45% YoY to $33.4M and margin to 13.8% (+280 bps) .
  • Retention and value proposition improved: TTM retention 98.29% and subscription cost of invoices 71.1% of revenue vs 74.1% LY; management highlighted 98.4% 3‑month retention and restored value proposition to target .
  • Balance sheet and cash flow: $319.6M cash/short-term investments, operating cash flow $15.0M, FCF $12.0M; upstreamed $26M extraordinary dividend from APIC and repaid ~$15M debt, positioning for growth investments .

What Went Wrong

  • Gross adds remain subdued despite higher PAC; PAC rose to $276 (+19% YoY) while gross adds were stagnant, prompting analyst concerns on conversion efficiency and spend ROI cadence .
  • Other business deceleration: segment revenue +5% YoY, but growth is expected to slow as the largest partner stops enrolling new pets in most U.S. states; AOI margin only 1.3% .
  • Reported net income benefited from a non-recurring $7.8M realized gain (preferred stock exchanged for IP); underlying profitability excluding this item is lower, and S&P’s EBITDA “actual” series showed a miss vs consensus (see Estimates Context) .

Financial Results

Consolidated P&L (GAAP)

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$314.8 $342.0 $353.6
Net Income ($USD Millions)$(5.9) $(1.5) $9.4
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.14) $(0.03) $0.22

Margins and Profitability (non-GAAP where noted)

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Subscription cost of paying veterinary invoices (% of subscription revenue)74.1% 71.8% 71.1%
Subscription adjusted operating income margin (%)11.0% 12.9% 13.8%
Total business AOI margin (%)7.9% 9.1% 9.8%

Segment Breakdown

SegmentQ2 2024 Revenue ($M)Q1 2025 Revenue ($M)Q2 2025 Revenue ($M)Q2 2024 AOI ($M)Q1 2025 AOI ($M)Q2 2025 AOI ($M)
Subscription$208.6 $233.1 $242.2 $23.0 $30.0 $33.4
Other Business$106.2 $108.9 $111.4 $1.8 $1.2 $1.4

KPIs (Subscription and Total Business)

KPIQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Total pets enrolled (period end)1,699,643 1,667,637 1,660,455
Subscription pets enrolled (period end)1,020,934 1,052,845 1,066,354
Monthly average revenue per pet ($)71.72 77.53 79.93
Average pet acquisition cost (PAC) ($)231 267 276
Average monthly retention (TTM, %)98.34% 98.28% 98.29%

Consensus vs Actual (S&P Global; Primary series)

MetricQ2 2025 ConsensusQ2 2025 ActualSurprise
Primary EPS Consensus Mean ($)-0.026*0.7265*Beat*
Revenue Consensus Mean ($)346,665,750*353,557,000*+2.0%*
EBITDA Consensus Mean ($)12,541,330*6,276,000*-49.9%*

Values retrieved from S&P Global. Note: Company reported GAAP diluted EPS of $0.22; S&P “Primary EPS” reflects a different definition (normalized), hence the discrepancy .*

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Total Revenue ($)FY 2025$1.39B–$1.425B $1.417B–$1.434B Raised
Subscription Revenue ($)FY 2025$966M–$989M $983M–$992M Raised
Total Adjusted Operating Income (AOI) ($)FY 2025$122M–$142M $141M–$151M Raised
Total Revenue ($)Q3 2025N/A$359M–$365M Set
Subscription Revenue ($)Q3 2025N/A$251M–$254M Set
Total Adjusted Operating Income (AOI) ($)Q3 2025N/A$37M–$40M Set
FX Assumption (CAD/USD)FY/Q3 202572% 73% Updated

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’24, Q1’25)Current Period (Q2’25)Trend
Value proposition / marginSubscription cost of invoices 70.0% in Q4; improved to 71.8% in Q1 71.1% with ~60 bps favorable dev; subscription AOI margin 13.8% Improving
RetentionQ4 TTM 98.25%; Q1 TTM 98.28% and focus on >20% rate cohorts TTM 98.29%; 3‑month 98.4%; softer increases expected in 2026 Improving
Pet acquisition / PACPAC $261 in Q4; $267 in Q1 with IRR ~31% PAC $276; IRR ~30%; plan to scale spend into H2 Scaling
Pricing / inflationQ1 noted moderating YoY pricing pace; loss ratio expansion ~1% inflation abatement; value proposition at target; less rate needed ahead Moderating
Canadian underwriting transitionPlan to move to wholly owned entity (GPIC); leverage expected Continued transition expected to lower frictional costs Positive
Other business outlookDeceleration expected; low-margin profile Growth to decelerate; AOI margin ~1.3% Headwind
Strategic initiatives (food/IP)Shareholder letter context; testing Exchanged preferred for IP; $7.8M gain; early-stage but optimistic Building
Currency assumptions72% used in Q1 guidance 73% used for Q3 and FY guidance Slight tailwind

Management Commentary

  • “Q2 was one of the strongest financial quarters in the history of Trupanion underscored by consistent top line growth, robust margin expansion and strengthening retention.” — CEO Margi Tooth .
  • “Subscription adjusted operating income of $33.4M, margin 13.8%, up two eighty basis points versus the prior year period.” — CEO Margi Tooth .
  • “We saw a little bit of an abatement of inflation down about 1%. Baked into our guidance for second half is an assumption that that 1% continues… about 60 bps of favorable development in Q2.” — CFO Fawwad Qureshi .
  • “We ended the quarter with $319.6M in cash and short-term investments… paid an extraordinary dividend of $26M from APIC; used ~$15M to pay down debt… remaining $11M for growth investments.” — CFO Fawwad Qureshi .
  • “Our results today show that we have now caught up with the cost of veterinary care with our value proposition restored to target.” — CEO Margi Tooth .

Q&A Highlights

  • Gross adds and PAC efficiency: Analysts pressed on stagnant gross adds despite higher PAC; management emphasized prioritizing “quality” pets and gradual PAC ramp with expectations for positive gross adds in H2’25 .
  • Inflation and value proposition: Management cited ~1% inflation abatement and favorable development, supporting guidance and margin trajectory .
  • Food initiative/IP: Company exchanged a preferred stake for IP to support nascent food initiative; early-stage but viewed as foundational .
  • Retention cadence: Team expects continued improvement as rate increases normalize; pricing set for back-half, more granular adjustments by geography/breed/age in 2026 .
  • Other business deceleration: Growth expected to slow due to partner enrollment changes; subscription segment remains primary AOI driver .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 results vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue beat (+2.0%), Primary EPS showed a large beat vs negative consensus, while EBITDA “actual” missed vs consensus (S&P series differs from company “Adjusted EBITDA”) .*
  • Q3 2025 consensus ahead of guidance suggests modest top-line growth sequentially; company’s AOI guidance implies continued expense leverage and reinvestment capacity .*
  • Expect sell-side models to adjust: raise FY revenue/EPS (normalized definitions notwithstanding), trim GAAP EBITDA if following S&P series, and reflect higher AOI and improved subscription margins.*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • The print was clean: revenue/EPS beat, robust non-GAAP margin expansion, and stronger cash flow; FY guidance raised across revenue and AOI, a clear positive setup into H2 .
  • Margin durability: Subscription value proposition at target (71.1%) with signs of inflation moderation; expect sustained AOI margin in low-to-mid teens as pricing normalizes .
  • Growth engine re-primed: PAC rising with IRRs ~30% and H2 gross adds targeted to turn positive; watch conversion metrics and cohort quality to gauge scalability .
  • Mix watch: Other business deceleration keeps consolidated margin anchored to subscription segment; reinforces focus on core product and retained pet quality .
  • Cash deployment: Upstreamed extraordinary dividend and debt paydown expand strategic flexibility; expect AOI to fund disciplined growth and technology investments .
  • Model implications: Raise FY25 revenue/AOI, incorporate 73% FX assumption, and reconcile EPS definitions (GAAP diluted $0.22 vs S&P Primary EPS 0.7265) .
  • Near-term trading: Guidance raise and margin narrative support positive sentiment; Investor Day (Sep 17) is a potential catalyst for deeper strategic detail .

Additional Q2 2025 Materials

  • Q2 2025 earnings press release and 8‑K with full financials .
  • Q2 2025 earnings call transcript (full discussion and guidance) .
  • Other relevant press releases in Q2: Earnings release date announcement (Jul 17), Canaccord Genuity participation (Jul 31), Investor Day set for Sep 17 (Jun 26) .